The Best Time to Trade Crypto: A Beginner’s Guide to Weekend Volatility

Historically, the Bitcoin market and other cryptocurrencies see large price fluctuations over the weekends and holidays. In addition, negative reports that occur on weekends tend to have a more significant effect on the market. This brings the question, "Should you trade on weekends?"

TL;DR

  • Weekends see sharp declines in crypto prices due to lower trading volume.
  • Crypto markets tend to correct over the week after weekend volatility.
  • Traders can profit by leveraging weekend volatility through strategies like scalping, buying the dip, and arbitrage.

Table of Contents

Why Crypto Becomes Volatile on Weekends

Unlike traditional stock markets, cryptocurrency trading never stops—it’s open 24/7. However, this constant activity brings unique challenges, especially over weekends when the market can experience significant price fluctuations.

Fewer Trades on Weekends

During the weekend, there’s typically a lower trading volume. Fewer trades mean that "whales" (large investors) can have a bigger impact on prices with their large transactions. This market imbalance often leads to sharp price drops as they sell off their holdings. Conversely, during weekdays, more traders are active, leading to a more balanced market.

Bitcoin to USD Chart

The Banks Are Closed

Banks and traditional financial institutions are closed over the weekend, limiting the ability of traders to move funds into exchanges quickly. This leads to reduced liquidity and contributes to heightened volatility as fewer traders participate. Cryptocurrencies can still be traded, but without the influx of funds from institutional investors, the market becomes more susceptible to large price swings.

Liquidation of Leveraged Trades

Over the weekend, many leveraged positions face liquidation. If a trader borrowed funds and their position falls below a certain threshold, exchanges may automatically sell their holdings. This mass liquidation adds selling pressure, exacerbating volatility.

When is the Best Time to Trade Crypto?

To maximize your trading opportunities, it's crucial to know when the market is most active. Just as a vendor wants to sell in a busy market, you want to execute trades during times of maximum liquidity.

Spot Traders and DeFi Investors

For spot traders, liquidity is vital. The best time to trade is when the market has the most active participants. For decentralized finance (DeFi) traders, network congestion and gas fees can vary throughout the day, making it critical to monitor peak trading hours to minimize transaction costs.

3D Illustration of a Guy learning about Spot Trading

Is It Safe to Trade on Weekends?

Trading on weekends offers both opportunities and risks. While some experienced traders step back, others take advantage of the volatility for high-profit trades. Automated trading bots and liquidity providers dominate the market, so it’s crucial to assess the risk before engaging.

For those looking to avoid excessive volatility, weekends might not be the safest time. However, if you are prepared and have a strategy in place, you can leverage the price swings for profit.

Best Crypto Trading Strategies on Weekends

Weekend volatility is an opportunity for savvy traders. Here are some strategies to consider:

1. Scalping

Scalping involves executing a large volume of trades, taking small profits on each one. This strategy is ideal during periods of rapid price movements, allowing traders to accumulate profits from minor fluctuations in price.

2. Buying the Dip

If you believe that the market will correct itself during the week, buying on a price dip over the weekend can be an effective strategy. Major cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin and Ethereum, often experience significant price swings, presenting opportunities to purchase at lower prices.

3. Range Trading

Many cryptocurrencies tend to fluctuate within a certain range over specific time periods. By analyzing past price patterns, traders can buy at the lower end of the range and sell at the higher end, making small, consistent profits.

4. Arbitrage Trading

Simple Illustration of Arbitrage Trading

Arbitrage trading takes advantage of price discrepancies between exchanges. If Bitcoin is priced higher on one exchange than another, you can buy it on the cheaper exchange and sell it on the more expensive one, profiting from the difference. Increased volatility on weekends can make arbitrage more profitable.

Is Weekend Trading Right for You?

Weekend trading is not for everyone. If you’re new to crypto or not comfortable with high volatility, it’s wise to start slow or avoid weekend trading altogether. For experienced traders, however, the weekend market offers unique opportunities to capitalize on price swings. Keep track of your trades, review past performance, and refine your strategy over time.

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